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SM Stock Market Method

ABT Surges 10% Pre-Market While Tech Sells Off: What It Means

TL;DR

Defensives surged, tech sold off, and gold saw 15x its average volume. Here is what the technical picture is signaling before Friday's open.

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“Defensives surged, tech sold off, and gold saw 15x its average volume. Here is what the technical picture is signaling before Friday's open.”
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Where this fits in the Confluence Method

This lesson lives in the Stack step of the Confluence Method, where you confirm momentum, price action and structure and a key level before a setup qualifies as a trade.

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Full transcript

5 sections

0:00Good morning and happy Friday. Abbott Laboratories is surging double digits in the pre-market. Apple is pushing into overbought territory and Lucid is catching a serious bid heading into the open. Here is what the technical picture looks like before the bell. Yesterday's session showed a clear defensive rotation. Consumer staples led the tape up nearly 3% with healthcare and real estate also finishing solidly in the green. On the other side, technology dropped more than 2% and communication services slipped as well, while industrials barely budged. That kind of shift, money moving out of growth and into defensives, is worth watching as a potential signal of riskoff sentiment in the broader market. Gold futures saw extraordinary activity yesterday, trading at nearly 15 times their average volume on a modest 0.3% move. That kind of volume spike in a safe haven asset can sometimes reflect elevated uncertainty or repositioning in the macro backdrop. United Health also drew notable interest, trading at roughly twice its average volume while finishing up about 1% elevated volume on an upday in a defensive name like that can suggest conviction behind the move.

1:14Though one session is never the whole story. Abbott Laboratories is the standout of the morning. up more than 10% in pre-market trade after what the automated signal system is flagging as a breakout with very high conviction at 0.9 strength. Volume came in at 2.2 times the 20-day average. That kind of participation behind a big move adds weight to the setup. RSI sits at 64, which is firm but not yet overextended, though traders watching this will want to see if that momentum holds through the open. Apple is pushing roughly 1.8% higher ahead of the open and the automated signal here is also reading as a breakout but RSI has climbed to 71 which puts it in what technicians consider overbought territory. The 50-day moving average remains above the 200 day keeping the longerterm trend structure intact. Volume is running just below its 20-day average. So the breakout signal comes with that caveat.

2:14Conviction behind the move is not especially elevated at this point. Lucid is up nearly 9% in pre-market. A sharp move for a lowerpriced EV name and volume is running at 1.8 times the average. So there is real participation behind this pop. That said, the automated signal is reading neutral with zero signal strength. The 50-day MA remains below the 200 day and RSI at 56 is mid-range with no clear directional momentum signal. This could be a news-driven or sentiment-driven move rather than a technically confirmed trend.

2:48Marvel technology is under pressure down nearly 9% ahead of the open and the automated system has flagged a breakdown signal on this name with moderate strength. RSI has dropped to 36 getting close to oversold territory but not quite there and with an average true range of nearly $23. This is a name that can move aggressively in either direction. Volume is slightly below average which is something to note.

3:11Breakdowns on lighter volume can sometimes see sharp reversals. So, how this trades through the open could be telling. Keep an eye on that defensive rotation and watch how these pre-market moves hold up once real volume comes in at the open. Have a sharp Friday. This video is for educational andformational purposes only and is not financial advice. Markets are risky. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before trading.